Nvidia Stock Earnings Report: Nvidia (NVDA), a cornerstone of the AI revolution, remains in the spotlight as investors dissect its latest earnings report and grapple with mixed market reactions. The chipmaker’s Q4 2025 results, released on February 27, 2025, showcased robust growth but left some investors wanting more. Below, we break down the key takeaways, stock performance, and what lies ahead for NVDA.
Nvidia Q4 2025 Earnings Report Highlights
Nvidia’s fourth-quarter results underscored its dominance in AI-driven markets, though concerns about tariffs and competition tempered enthusiasm. Here’s a snapshot of the numbers:
| Metric | Q4 2025 Result | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $39.33 billion | +78% |
| Blackwell Chip Sales | ~30% of total revenue | New product segment |
| Adjusted EPS | $5.16 | +62% |
| Data Center Revenue | $32.5 billion | +85% |
Key Takeaways:
- Blackwell Chip Momentum: The next-generation Blackwell architecture accounted for nearly a third of quarterly sales, signaling strong early adoption.
- AI Demand Surge: Data center revenue soared, driven by cloud providers and enterprises ramping up AI infrastructure.
- Margin Pressures: Gross margins tightened to 76% (down from 78% in Q3) due to higher costs linked to Blackwell’s rollout.
NVDA Stock Reaction: Volatility Amid High Expectations
Nvidia’s stock (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been a rollercoaster in 2025. While shares surged 67% over the past 12 months, they’ve struggled to gain traction this year, rising just 3.6% year-to-date before earnings. Post-report, the stock fluctuated wildly in after-hours trading:
- Pre-Earnings Rally: Shares closed up 3.67% at $307.33 on optimism about AI growth.
- After-Hours Dip: NVDA fell 1.5% to $129.32 as investors questioned margins and tariff risks.
- Technical Support Levels:
- Immediate support at $130 (aligned with a 50-day moving average).
- Critical levels at $113 and $96 if sell-offs accelerate.
Analyst Insights:
“Nvidia’s results lacked the ‘wow’ factor we’ve seen before. With geopolitical risks and tariff uncertainties, the stock may consolidate near-term,” noted Charu Chanana, Saxo Markets strategist.
Nvidia Earnings Call: Key Takeaways
The NVDA earnings call highlighted both optimism and caution. CEO Jensen Huang emphasized Blackwell’s long-term potential, while CFO Colette Kress flagged margin pressures and tariff impacts. Notable points:
- AI Expansion: Executives revealed plans to diversify into AI software, broadening beyond hardware.
- Tariff Warnings: U.S. tariffs on China and Europe could dent sales by 5–7% in 2025.
- DeepSeek Threat: China’s new AI startup DeepSeek, which uses cheaper chips, poses competitive risks.
Market Reactions and External Pressures
While Nvidia’s fundamentals remain strong, macro factors are clouding the outlook:
- Trump’s Tariff Threats:
- New 25% tariffs on EU imports and revived levies on Mexico/Canada sparked fears of a trade war.
- Research suggests U.S. tariffs on China may backfire, hurting domestic tech firms like NVDA.
- Fed Policy and Treasury Yields:
- Bond traders now price in two 2025 rate cuts, pushing the 10-year yield to 4.27%.
- Lower yields could boost tech valuations, but sticky inflation remains a wild card.
- Global AI Competition:
- DeepSeek’s cost-efficient AI models threaten Nvidia’s pricing power in China, a key market.
Nvidia Stock Price Forecast: Technical Analysis
NVDA’s chart reveals a tug-of-war between bulls and bears:
- Bullish Signals:
- A recent “bullish engulfing” pattern near the 50-week MA suggests buying interest.
- Resistance at $153 (December 2024 high) and $255 (all-time peak) are upside targets.
- Bearish Risks:
- A break below $130 could trigger a slide toward $113 (October 2024 low).
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 50 indicates neutral momentum, favoring range-bound trading.
NVDA Earnings Date and Upcoming Catalysts
Mark your calendar for these critical events:
- Next Earnings Date: May 28, 2025 (Q1 2026 results).
- Blackwell Launch: Full-scale production begins in Q2 2025.
- PCE Inflation Data (Feb 28): Could sway Fed rate expectations and tech valuations.
Navigating Nvidia’s Crossroads
Nvidia’s Q4 earnings solidify its AI leadership, but challenges loom. Investors must weigh Blackwell’s potential against tariff risks and rising competition. With the stock trading at 35x forward earnings—below its 5-year average—long-term holders might see dips as buying opportunities. However, volatility is likely to persist as markets digest macro risks and the AI arms race intensifies.
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